Tuesday, 31 December 2013

Developers must be creative

Focus MALAYSIA WEEKLY ISSUE 055
THE WEEK OF DECEMBER 21 – DECEMBER 27, 2013
Review 2013 / Outlook 2014 --
By: FocusM

This year was generally a positive and vibrant one for the property sector, with the low-interest regime, special schemes like developer interest-bearing scheme (DIBS) and higher loan margins of up to 90%, despite some house-buyers holding off on the purchasing decision before the general election in May.

The recent cooling measures announced in Budget 2014 and those taken by Bank Negara Malaysia to end special schemes offered by developers are seen by many as timely moves to curb speculative activities.

As the market takes time to digest and absorb these measures, will there be renewed interest in the property sector, given that demand outstrips supply?  Will this be the right time for potential property buyers to go into the market, more so with the implementation of the GST on April 1, 2015?

FocusM spoke to developers, the Real Estate and Housing Developers’ Association, the House Buyers Association and an analyst on the performance of the property sector in 2013 and the outlook for next year.

Datuk Seri Michael Yam
President, Real Estate & Housing
Developers' Association (REHDA)
How did the year pan out for the property sector?

In general, the first half of 2013 was positive for developers as the trend, based on a survey of Rehda members, indicated that sales were better than in the preceding half-year in 2012 and 2011.

The survey showed a better sales performance in H1 2013, with 6,095 (56%) units sold compared to H2 2012 with 4,822 (46%) units sold, and the number of landed properties launched is dwindling, while launches of strata-property units are on the rise.

The main challenges are labour issues and the increasing cost of building materials like cement, steel bars, sand and bricks, which increased by between 5% and 10% in H1 2013.

What are your expectations for the sector in 2014?

With the cooling measures announced in the recent Budget 2014, we anticipate a challenging time for developers.  Although the budget is tailored to promote a more stable and sustainable property market, with the imposition of a higher RPGT, the removal of DIBS, affordable housing initiatives by the government and higher price threshold for foreign buyers, these measures will bring some major changes in both demand and supply sides of the equation.

The first half of 2014 will see an initial slow down in sales, as the market adopts a wait-and-see attitude.  This approach is compounded by the fear factor of a higher cost of living and lowered affordability due to increases in electricity, toll charges, gas and KL assessment rates that will be effected in 2014.

We expect the rate of sales to accelerate in the second half of 2014, as the population adapts to the situation and realises that fundamentally, the demand for housing will not change.  As more youths join the house-buying group and a lower supply comes onstream, there is only a small window in which to buy before the GST kicks in, in the second quarter of 2015.

What do you think will be the key events and challenges that will shape the sector’s prospects next year?

With the various stringent measures in place, developers will need to be more creative and diligent in terms of coming up with better product offerings and pricing.  Developers will need to focus on research and marketing to reach target customers.

With the MRT projects in the pipeline, especially in the Greater KL area, there will be a greater housing supply.  This will help relieve the imbalance in supply and demand, including the focus on affordable housing projects where developers are given an incentives of RM30,000 per unit by the government to build affordable housing, aside from the role of PR1MA.

Among main challenges will be the higher cost of compliance with new regulations such as 3% of the development cost as deposit for a developer’s licence and the backloading of progress payment drawdowns as stipulated in the revised Housing Development Act.  These changes will inevitably lead to higher cost of development, leading to higher selling prices.

Inflationary pressure will feature prominently as the rakyat adjust to the higher costs occasioned by increased tariffs, toll charges and the reduction of subsidies.

Which areas in Malaysia will be 2014’s hot property areas?

Greater Kuala Lumpur (Kuala Lumpur and nine other local authorities), Putrajaya and Cyberjaya, Penang (Penang Island and Seberang Perai), the Iskandar region and Seremban. FocusM










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